Our approach to trading - and what we believe is the best way to approach trading - is as a business. Just as building a successful business demands a disciplined, steady approach, so too does building a successful trading program. Looking for excitement, 'rolling the dice' & trying to 'win the…

The key to successful trading lies not in specific indicators, but rather in when, how, and where they are used. Indicators are nothing more than tools... and no single tool will accomplish every task you encounter. You have probably encountered many approaches to trading and a plethora of…

As this site attempts to convey, there is an undeniable cyclicality to life… and to the markets… and to the economy… and to droughts & floods… and to geopolitical struggles… and to earthquakes & volcanoes… and to manias & crashes, etc.  There is a time – and a cycle – to everything. What does the…

In order to prevent a misunderstanding of cycles – or at least our approach to cycle analysis – it is good to start out with a quick summation of what cycles are NOT... They are NOT perfect. They are NOT an investment or trading strategy, in and of themselves. They are NOT a stand-alone tool. They…

In early-June ’19, Gold triggered a bullish breakout signal that projected an accelerated advance to follow. What led to that conclusion? A critical indicator in that analysis was the weekly 21 MAC and 21 MARC. One of the premier ways to utilize the 21 MARC & 21 MAC together is to look for times…

The problem that most cycle analysts and cycle programs have is that they are constantly searching ONLY the lows or ONLY the highs for a consistent cycle. The futility of this exercise forces most novice “cyclists” to give up in desperation. Cycles are a dynamic entity -- they keep progressing and…

This pattern carries much more weight if the trigger (fourth) day also closes below the third day’s low (outside day reversal) and/or the second day’s close (two closes prior). The latter of these filters — closing below the close of two days prior — leads into a very effective short-term……

This pattern appears commonly in the S+P — at significant turning points. One occurrence appeared in the S+P two weeks before the early-August 1997 high (and the largest correction in over 7 years that followed this pattern). It also occurred in early 1997 in the Silver market and identified a…

There are several price patterns to which I pay special attention when they arise. Some of them, like the 2 Close Reversal, are very common and are useful to know at any point in time. Others, like the topic of this discussion, appear with far less frequency even though they are extremely effective…

This pattern is used to judge the validity of an outside-day reversal. Most outside-day reversals (a high above previous day’s high AND low below the previous day’s low) are more significant than a plain key reversal. This gives them a higher probability factor, right from the start.