01-01-25 Update – 8-Year Cycle of American Attacks & 80-Year Cycle of War Reinforced by New Year’s Day Attacks… Geophysical instability could follow during specific period of time.

2025 Times Collision of Dangerous Cycles; Reinforces Outlook for Several Revealing Markets.  Unstable Time Begins in January 2025!

11/30/24 – “8’s & 80’s: Cycles of Conflict

Another pair of ’C’s – Cycles of Conflict – are focused on 2025 as a potentially volatile time.

One is the culmination of the 80-Year Cycle of War that helped pinpoint the Russia/Ukraine & Hamas/Israel conflicts.  2025 is 80 years from 1945… and all that occurred during that momentous year.  It is also 160 years from 1865 (culmination of Civil War).

The other is the 8-Year Cycle of American Attacks (physical & cyber) that recurs in 2025.

That has been discussed over the past ~15 years and has also timed major cyber attacks that entered escalated phases in 2009 & 2017…

2025/2026

There are many related 17-Year Cycles that are entering the volatile and unsettling transition phase.  They include US recessions, real estate extremes, US Dollar extremes, earth disturbance swarms, solar-related phenomenon, etc… they are all expected to create a very challenging period from late-2024 into late-2026.

The topping phase needs to unfold first… then the ‘dominos’ should start to fall  [reserved for subscribers]…

The first bout of inflation, in the current decade, involved a surge from a deflationary low in ~March 2020 into an initial peak in 2022.  That was in perfect lockstep with what was described in 2020 issues of INSIIDE Track:

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/40-Year-Cycle-A-New-Currency-War-II.pdf

In early-2020, the handwriting was already on the walls – with inflation forecast for 2020 – 2022.  That was published repeatedly – before anyone began to recognize the implications – and is not unlike what unfolded in the 1970’s.

The technical & cyclical outlook for Bonds & Notes corroborates this scenario.  So, too, does the outlook for the return of the 17-Year Cycle of US Recessions that has a ~93% accuracy rate – up to this point.  In this case, however, there are also cycles arguing for stagflation to be part of that.

The recessionary part of that period is when the ’C’ wave advance should unfold in Bonds & Notes (‘A’ wave advance from Oct ’23 into Aug/Sept 2024 & ‘B’ wave decline into early-Nov ‘24) – before the inflationary part overtakes the focus and begins to weigh on Bonds & Notes.

Inflation Markets – Metals

Gold & Silver are fulfilling the outlook for a multi-month top to take hold in late-October – as part of the overall outlook for precious metals.  The peak in late-October ‘24 fulfilled an ongoing ~1-year/~12.5-month high-high-low (Aug ’21) – low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – (high; late-Oct 2024) Cycle Progression… and projected a future peak for October/November 2025.

That was reinforced by related ~54-week cycle & 27-week low-high-(high) Cycle Progressions and the latest phase of a ~5-week/34 – 37-day low-high-high-high-(high; Oct 30 – Nov 4) Cycle Progression in Gold.  Silver reached upside targets on October 22/23 and projected a 2 – 3 month peak.

Gold neutralized its weekly uptrend multiple times, during the initial sell-off, and would not turn that trend down until a weekly close below 2565/GCG.  That trend indicator should determine how long this corrective period lasts and when a new advance becomes more likely in Gold.

Silver continues to lag and could easily see a drop to 27.50 – 28.00/SIH as part of this overall retreat.  For the past 3+ weeks, it has traded inside its flattening weekly 21 MAC and is poised to turn that channel lower AND potentially close below it.  A weekly close below 30.00/SIH would confirm.

From its Oct ‘23 low, Silver rallied in a clear 5-wave formation (a likely, overall ‘III’ wave advance) and is now tracing out a likely ‘a-b-c’ correction that could/should drop toward its ‘4th wave of lesser degree’ support near 28.00/SIH…

On a multi-year basis, Gold & Silver continue to reinforce analysis that projected major, multi-year lows to take hold in late-2022 and trigger multi-year advances.

Ultimately, these trends and cycles could spur higher prices into 2027.

The XAU & HUI have dropped sharply after fulfilling upside projections in price and time as the XAU surged into a synergistic convergence of geometric cycle highs on October 21/22nd.  That top fulfilled an ~18-week low-low-low-low-(high; Oct 21 – 25, 2024 Cycle Progression as well as:

l ~4-month low (Feb 13) – low (June 17) – (high; October 21/22, 2024) Cycle Progression.

l ~2-month low (Feb 13) – low (April 16) – low (June 17) – high (Aug 20) – (high; October 21/22, 2024) Cycle Progression.

l ~3-month high (Jan 12) – high (April 12) – high (July 16/17) – (high; October 16 – 22, 2024) Cycle Progression.

That also fulfilled a similar ~1-year/~12.5-month high-high-low (Aug ’21) – low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – (high; late-Oct 2024) Cycle Progression as in Gold.  They have since sold off and confirmed a top, projecting a quick drop to early-August lows.

The XAU has neutralized its weekly uptrend multiple times but would not turn that trend down until a weekly close below 142.35/XAU.  Similar to Silver, the XAU is turning its weekly 21 MAC negative and could see another decline – to 130 – 133/XAU – in the coming week(s).

Platinum has sold off since fulfilling cycles that projected a multi-month peak in late-October/early- November ‘24.  It is expected to set higher highs in March – June 2025 – a 17-Year Cycle from its March 2008 peak and convergence of other cycles.

Palladium is powerfully confirming that a 6 – 12-month bottom is intact, in line with ongoing analysis.   It is expected to set its next 3 – 6 month peak in 1Q 2025 – the convergence of multiple cycles and a ~3-year low (1Q ‘16) – high (1Q ‘19) – high (1Q ‘22) – (high; 1Q 2025) Cycle Progression.

Palladium fulfilled projections for an initial surge from ~1000 to ~1200/PAZ – ushering in a multi-month top & pullback (while reinforcing future cycles in 1Q 2025). On balance, that could spur a new surge to ~1600/PA as the next primary upside objective.  That advance should begin in late-2024.

The technical & cyclical outlooks were recently validated by key fundamental factors as Western sanctions on Russian Palladium are being considered.  This came right after China and then Russia announced the launch of Platinum & Palladium futures in their respective nations.

The launch of futures on both these exchanges opens up the potential for a massive new audience to speculate, invest or hedge these metals – often skewed heavily toward new buying.

Copper continues to decline after peaking in late-Sept without turning its weekly trend up.  That projected a likely drop to its Aug ’24 low.  Copper continues to confirm a major peak was set in May ‘24 – the convergence of multi-year cycles and the completion of a clear 5-wave advance from its January 2016 bottom.  That could spur an ultimate drop to [reserved for subscribers]…” — December 2024 INSIIDE Track TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!

January 2025 Cycles

Precious metals are forecast to extend their corrections into January 2025 when the 8-Year Cycle of American Attacks begins as the 80-Year Cycle of War prepares for its crescendo.  Other markets – often correlated to this type of instability – concur and are pinpointing the likely time for a new bout of upheaval.

Coinciding with this, recurring cycles of geophysical instability also enter a potentially-volatile time in January 2025. INSIIDE Track & the Weekly Re-Lay elaborate on all of this.

Why Does January 2025 Hold Such Heightened Potential for Instability & Turmoil?

Specific analysis, targets, cycles & projections will continue to be published in related Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications.

For related analysis on specific war cycles, see:

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/17-Year-Cycle-Middle-East.pdf

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/Middle-East-War-Cycles-in-Late-2023.pdf

TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!

More information can be found at www.insiidetracktrading.com