17-Year Cycle Holds ~93% Accuracy Over 240-Year Period!

When is Next Economic Downturn Likely?

17-Year Solar Cycle

03-28-24 – The 17-Year Cycle times a multitude of natural, market, and geopolitical phenomenon on a consistently recurring basis.  As time goes on, more evidence is emerging that this is a cycle at the core of the universe… or at least our little corner of the universe (Sun & Earth).

When INSIIDE Track first started discussing this cycle in the late-1990s, there was little corroborating information or evidence it was a cycle of great import (outside the markets).

Regardless, there was little denying it was a powerful influence in our world.

In 2006 – 2010, 2 – 3 dozen reports/articles focused on that 17-Year Cycle – beginning with extensive analysis that projected a multi-year stock market peak for late-2007… and a subsequent ‘stock crash of 35 – 50%’.

A couple years into that analysis, I came across research by David Juckett who had identified a consistent 17-Year Cycle between the ‘to-and-away’ magnetic forces between the Sun and Earth.  That cycle would ‘peak’ every 17 years – powerfully impacting the attractive & repelling forces on Earth.

That reinforced one conclusion that had already been reached (and published) – namely that Middle East conflict recurred every 17 years – in 1939, 1956, 1973 & 1990… all linked to the preceding ‘carving up of the Middle East’ in 1922 (17 years prior) and all focused on 2007 (and now on 2024).

In 2022 & 2023, INSIIDE Track explained why the latest phase of Middle East conflict would be far more significant and would begin in October 2023 – the return of a myriad of cycles timing wars, attacks & conflict in the Middle East.

At that time (late-2022), another convincing piece of research was published, reinforcing the weight of this analysis on the 17-Year Cycle…

17-Year Cycle Ubiquity…

That’s right! It has now been recognized that the Sun has a pair of prevailing cycles – the oft-cited ~11.2-Year Sunspot Cycle AND an overlapping 17-Year Cycle.  Surprise, surprise! The evidence keeps mounting.

17-Year Cycle Concerns

The greatest impact of this cycle, as is the case with most cycles, is during its transition phase… from one phase to the next.

Just as the 40-Year Cycle has 5 – 7 year periods before & after its shift – that usually time the ‘seismic shifts’ of that cycle, the 17-Year Cycle has critical 2 – 3 year periods leading into and beyond its shifts.

Another of those has to do with economic recessions (and depressions) in the US.  As detailed on page 2, 2025 – 2026 is the latest phase of a 17-Year Cycle that has timed 13 (of a possible 14) recessions since the founding of this country.

The odds appear to favor a 14th one occurring in the coming years. Other factors concur.”  — April 2024 INSIIDE Track … www.insiidetracktrading.com

The 17-Year Cycle Returns

The 17-Year Cycle pinpoints 2024 & 2025 as higher-probability times for various types of extremes in the markets, in the US, and across the globe.

To recap, the 17-Year Cycle is a geophysical, geomagnetic, geopolitical & solar cycle that strongly influences the ebb and flow of market & geopolitical speculation.

At the ‘peak’ of each cycle, sudden shifts have consistently taken hold… and taken the masses by surprise.

2024/2025 is on track to repeat this uncanny cycle.

As described in 2009 – 2014, the 17-Year Cycle has also timed worldwide disease/viral outbreaks and was forecast to have the same impact in 2019/2020.  (Solar & geomagnetic swings and extremes have a marked impact on human life and health.) Covid-19 powerfully fulfilled that cycle outlook!

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/2016-The-Golden-Year-III.pdf

It has also timed interest rate and real estate peaks that are closely tied to these stock market tops and could also play a role in expectations for a coming recession in 2025/2026 (the April 2024 INSIIDE Track described a likely scenario for how Bonds & interest rates could trade over the next ~two years)…

That 17-Year Cycle also helped to pinpoint a major top in oil and energy prices…

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-energy.pdf

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-energy-iv.pdf

And it timed a Major, multi-year bottom in the Dollar – projecting a future low for 2026…

https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-dollar-dichotomy.pdf

The 17-Year Cycle Projects Destabilizing Events in 2024 – 2026!

Related analysis in currencies and cryptos dovetails with the outlook for banking, interest rates, inflation (or deflation… or stagflation), stocks, and precious metals in 2024 – 2025.

Specific analysis, targets, cycles & projections will continue to be published in related Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications.

TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!

More information can be found at www.insiidetracktrading.com.