17-Year Cycle in Disease, War, Oil, etc
17-Year Cycle Triggers Ominous Warnings for 2024/2025.
When Do Cycles Project Major Shift??
Forex & Energy Markets Concur!
Stock Market Reversals & the Natural Year
Natural Year 2023/2024 is coming to a close (on March 20/21, 2024) and is a likely time for a shift to occur in the overall equity market.
In March 2023, that Natural Year shift began a new stock market advance that has continued until now.
In March 2022, that Natural Year shift ushered in decisive peak that held for over a year.
In March 2021, that Natural Year shift began a new stock market advance with the corresponding low holding for almost 15 months.
In March 2020, that Natural Year shift timed the precise bottom in stock prices and began a new stock market advance that has now lasted ~4 years.
[For more information on the Natural Year and the markets it impacts most, as well as which years are most likely for more significant impacts, refer to INSIIDE Track & Weekly Re-Lay publications.]
The Natural Year ‘Opening Range’
The first month of the Natural Year – from March 20/21 until April 19/20 – has an oversized impact on key markets during specific years. 2024 is set up to be one of them!
That first ‘month’ leads into the Date of Aggression – a time that has had a sometimes-devastating impact on America and the globe. It is often a time of increased conflict or attacks – usually linked to corroborating cycles. INSIIDE Track has detailed that correlation for over two decades.
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/Date-of-Aggression-2022.pdf
In 2024, that period of time is expected to lead to extremes in some markets… and surprising events in the surrounding environment. Recent Weekly Re-Lay analysis explains how Forex markets as well as Gold & Silver could see pivotal shifts during that time period.
The 17-Year Cycle Impact
The 17-Year Cycle is one of the corroborating factors that pinpoints 2024 & 2025 as higher-probability times for those types of extremes. To recap, the 17-Year Cycle is a geophysical, geomagnetic cycle that strongly influences the ebb and flow of market & geopolitical speculation.
At the ‘peak’ of each cycle, sudden shifts have consistently taken hold… and taken the masses by surprise. 2024/2025 is on track to repeat this uncanny cycle.
As described in 2009 – 2014, the 17-Year Cycle has also timed worldwide disease/viral outbreaks and was forecast to have the same impact in 2019/2020. (Solar & geomagnetic swings and extremes have a marked impact on human life and health.
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/2016-The-Golden-Year-III.pdf
It has also timed interest rate and real estate peaks that are closely tied to these stock market tops.
The 17-Year Cycle has also timed a recurring escalation of conflict between four primary nations – two on one side and two on the other. If this cycle remains as precise as it has been over the last century, there is a specific period in 2024 that could/should time the next ‘flare-up’… and potentially a BIG one!
The March 2024 INSIIDE Track reiterated and/or elaborated on this analysis…
02-28-24 INSIIDE Track – “The 17-Year Cycle is a unique and sometimes uncanny timer of emotional/sociological shifts in our world.
It has been discussed in INSIIDE Track since the late-1990s when it was part of the analysis projecting a multi-year stock market peak for 1Q 2000. At the time, it was explained how that was the culmination of a related ~34-Year low (1932) – high (1966) – high (2000) Cycle Progression.
That coincided with Major War Cycles that were forecast to collide in August – October 2001…
In 2006, the focus on that 17-Year Cycle intensified as an overlapping recurrence was projecting another multi-year stock market peak for late-2007…
A lengthy discussion focused on corroborating research, including that by David Juckett – who had identified a consistent 17-Year Cycle between the ‘to-and-away’ magnetic forces between the Sun and Earth. That cycle would ‘peak’ every 17 years.
Another correlation was also discussed and documented in 2006 & 2007. It had to do with the recurrence of Middle East conflict every 17 years – in 1939, 1956, 1973 & 1990… all linked to the preceding ‘carving up of the Middle East’ in 1922 (17 years prior) and all focused on 2007.
The published conclusion was for the start of a new Middle East conflict and the start of a multi-year, 35 – 50% stock market plunge… both beginning in late-2007.
To Attack or Not To Attack…
Throughout 2007, the drumbeats of war were steadily intensifying with the greatest focus on Iran, their nuclear development program, Israel, the US, and Russia/Putin’s repeated warnings against any attacks directed toward Iran. The year began with US assurances of no intention to attack Iran…
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-us-doesnt-plan-to-attack-iran
Russia soon responded with more warnings…
That rhetoric continued to escalate leading into October 2007 – the precise time that stock index cycles projected a major peak…
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-iii.pdf
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-v.pdf
While that was unfolding, there was a major battle being planned and implemented beneath the surface that was not apparent to most (a little bit like the cicadas that remain under the surface for all but a very short period of their overall life cycle)…
Cyber Warfare…
Late-2007 arrived, the precise time the 17-Year Cycle had projected the onset of a major stock market decline and a major Middle East conflict, and the rhetoric escalated.
At the same time, it provided Vladimir Putin with a golden opportunity to lead a coalition of Caspian Sea bordering nations in a new defense pact, intensifying the growing symbiotic relationship between Russia & Iran…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/oct/17/usa.russia
While it appeared that Putin’s threats and warnings were being heeded, an insidious ‘worm’ was inching its way through Iran’s nuclear program – leveling an unprecedented attack that was unlike any seen up to that point… a powerful archetype of the warfare of the future. A precedent was set!
Surreptitious Worm…
In November 2007, just weeks after the stock market set a multi-year peak that would ultimately trigger a 50+% plunge into 2009, Stuxnet was unleashed on to its intended target…
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSBRE91P0PP
https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/stuxnet
While the initial attack, or at least breach, was not recognized for another ~three years, there is now no denying that a new phase of Middle East conflict was launched in late-2007, precisely when cycles had projected.
Setting the Stage…
All of this reinforces the outlook for a new phase of this 17-Year Cycle to likely be triggered in 2024 – most likely in 4Q 2024.” — excerpt from March 2024 INSIIDE Track [More specific analysis and related trading strategies reserved for subscribers.]
Stock market action moves in lockstep with these major cycles of conflict. 2007 was the latest example and ushered in one of the worst declines in modern stock market history. The March 2024 INSIIDE Track also repeated that correlation…
2-29-24 – “17-Year Cycle Parallels
The 17-Year Cycle concurs… but could also be clarifying the magnitude of this potential peak. The 17-Year Cycle (of stock market declines) returns in 2024/2025 and is expected to trigger another major decline at some point during this period. That would perpetuate an uncanny cycle that timed 20 – 50% declines in 2007/2008, 1990, 1973/74, 1956 & 1939… coinciding with Middle East wars.
Based on the 17-Year Cycle, another 25 – 35% (or larger) decline is expected in 2024/2025… once a final peak is set. When viewed on its own, this 17-Year Cycle [reserved for subscribers]…
With recent phases of the 17-Year Cycle – in 2007 and 1990 – timing final peaks in the second half of the year, 2024 has the potential to resemble the 2-Year Cycle of 2018 if the price action in March – June ‘24 corroborates… and if it is going to resemble 2007 & 1990.
In 2018, a 6 – 9-month peak was set in early-2018 and then retested in Sept/Oct 2018, before a sharper sell-off. If something similar occurs in 2024, it could involve an intervening low in April/May ’24. That overlaps monthly cycles in other indexes…
A future (multi-month) low in ~May 2024 would fulfill the DJTA’s ~5-month high (Feb 2023) – high (July 2023) – high (Dec ’23) – (low; May ’24) Cycle Progression. That would represent the second half of an overall ~10-month decline from the July ’23 peak (matching the ~10-month decline of Nov ’21 – Sept ’22; ‘C’ = ‘A’ declines).
May/June 2024 is also the next phase of a 50 – 51-month low (Oct 2011) – low (Jan 2016) – low (March 2020) – (low; May/June 2024) Cycle Progression that has timed all of the major bottoms since 2010.
56-Year Parallel?
For the weaker/lagging indexes (Russell 2000, DJTA, etc), this could reinforce the parallel between 2022 – 2025 and the action seen in 1966 – 1970.
In 1966, stocks set a 1 – 3 year peak in January 1966 and then sold off into Sept 1966 – when they set a 1 – 3 year low.
In 2022, stocks set a 1 – 3 year peak in January 2022 and then sold off into Sept 2022 – when they set a 1 – 3 year low.
In 1966, that timed an initial (’A’) wave low and spurred a rally into late-1968 when they set a ’B’ wave peak while retesting the 1966 high.
In 2022, that potentially timed an ’A’ wave low (in the weaker indexes) and has spurred a rally that could ultimately last into late-2024 and set a ’B’ wave peak… possibly retesting the 2022 high.
In 1968 (-1970), that was followed by a ’C’ wave decline into June 1970 – when the DJIA dropped well below its September ’66 low.
Adding to the parallel, the Jan ‘66 peak was set ~4-years (49 months) from its preceding peak in Dec 1961. Similarly, the Jan. ‘22 peak was set ~4-years (48 months) from its preceding peak in Jan. 2018.
Those peaks were set ~2.5 years (28 & 31 months) from preceding peaks in July 1959 & May 2018. Those 1959 & 2018 peaks were initial 6 – 12 month peaks set after 9 – 10 year bull markets, reinforcing a series of parallels from the 1960’s.
The late-1960’s was a very divisive time in America, reflected in the wild swings of the stock market. The early-2020’s have similarities as well.
Multi-Month Targets & Extremes
For the past ~16 months, the DJIA has had a 1 – 2 year LLH objective combined with a group of range-target objectives at 39,000 – 39,200. The NQ-100 has had related upside targets at 17,800 – 18,200. Both have now been met as a Danger Period nears.
The S+P 500 is nearing its corresponding target at 5160 – 5220/ES. At the same time, the Russell 2000 has been projecting a retest of decisive range-trading resistance near 2100/QR, in line with its weekly trend pattern.
As always, price & price action is the determining factor – the ultimate filter for recurring cycles. Now that multi-month and/or multi-year objectives have been reached (or are about to be reached), the time is ripe for a multi-month peak.
6 – 12 month & 1 – 2 year traders and investors should [reserved for subscribers]… TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index is fulfilling the overall outlook for a new rally into early-2024. Another peak is likely in 1Q ’24, fulfilling ~4-year & ~2-year low-low-high?? Cycle Progressions. More than any other index, this one has the most synergistic cycle convergence – in 1Q 2024.
That is also a full ~17-Year Cycle from its 1Q ’07 peak (divided into an ~8.5-Year high-high-(high) Cycle Progression, recurring in 1Q ’24) which was exactly 17 years from its late-1989/early-1990 major peak… which was 17 years from its 1Q 1973 peak.
[In 2007, the Nikkei initially topped in the final days of February 2007. It then retested that peak in July 2007 and set a final peak… before losing ~60% of its value over the ensuing 18 – 20 months.]
The Nikkei is also completing a textbook 5-wave sequence from its 1Q 2022 low – now fulfilling ideal relationships to its wave ’1’ and ’3’ advances. If the Nikkei stretches this advance into March 11 – 15, ‘24, all three rallies (waves ‘1’, ‘3’ & ‘5’) will have lasted 23 weeks each.
Wave ‘5’ (current rally from early-Oct ‘23 low) has just matched the magnitude of the wave ‘3’ rally (January – June ‘23 rally).
Perhaps the most significant is that the Nikkei has just set new all-time highs, spiking above its late-1989 peak for the first time in 34 years. The ~17-Year Cycle remains in force!” — excerpt from March 2024 INSIIDE Track [More specific analysis and related trading strategies reserved for subscribers.]
The 17-Year Cycle has maintained an uncanny impact on financial markets, interest rate swings, disease & viral cycles, housing prices, China & Russia geopolitics, Middle East War Cycles, and other seemingly unrelated events – all tied into a unique relationship between the magnetic forces of the Earth and Sun.
Those magnetic forces – deep within the Earth – might have something to do with the great mystery of what drives the 17-Year cicada to remain underground for that period of time… and then emerge every 17 years.
This is not some mystical conjecture but rather an observation of a very natural – and very consistent – periodicity of a major influence on our world. As stated in the above analysis, it has precisely timed serious stock market sell-offs in 1939, 1956, 1973/74, 1990, 2007/08… and is back to impact the markets in 2024/25.
March 20/21 into April 19/20, 2024 is set to provide initial validation!
That 17-Year Cycle also helped to pinpoint a (previous) major top in oil and energy prices…
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-energy.pdf
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-energy-iv.pdf
And it timed a Major, multi-year bottom in the Dollar – projecting a future low for 2026…
https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/17-year-cycle-dollar-dichotomy.pdf
Dollar & Energy cycles converge around the start of Natural Year 2024/2025 and could have a decisive impact on the stock market, gold & silver, cryptocurrency, and other markets.
Looking out a little farther…
The 17-Year Cycle Could Trigger Explosive Events in 2024 – 2026!
Specific analysis, targets, cycles & projections will continue to be published in related Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications.
TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
More information can be found at www.insiidetracktrading.com.